Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 May 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 40 recorded within 20 km of this point since 28 April 2026 — 14 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 6:45PM CDT until May 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX
An estimated 249,042 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 28 April 2026
- May 23, 2026 · score 43 · 7.3 km
- June 26, 2026 · score 43 · 7.9 km
- June 7, 2026 · score 43 · 16.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 90 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 90% |
| Coordinates | 33.3043, -101.4835 |
| Nearest City | Lubbock (46 km) |
| Population Exposed | 249.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-15T23:45:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7db1a9b1a06f1ea7945e22799d9cfc04 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Crosby, TX; Garza, TX; Lubbock, TX; Lynn, TX; Garza, TX; Lynn, TX; Terry, TX; Dawson, TX; Gaines, TX and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 15 at 6:45PM CDT until May 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX |
| Expires | 2026-05-15T19:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lubbock TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7db1a9b1a06f1ea7945e22799d9cfc0442e0abb2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2d4899ec49af800d90a9669377eaf22b6e988181.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cbb84fdd5d6ffc2a5d011f284937e7d3e71a9a96.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c74f6a5277eeec8c36822693ddc50618a77188c9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e817790fcc11431d6c0560cfc78ac1c7b9b60a0a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9eccb5a88aec86bdc8b2648f84c6e269efb1ed80.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 61 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | Reese Center |
| Iem County | Lubbock |
| Iem State | TX |
| Iem Wfo | LUB |
| Iem Remark | Also gusted to 60 mph at 603 PM. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_N_33.590_-101.780_1778873100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778873100000,"latitude":33.59,"longitude":-101.78},{"id":"iem_G_33.590_-102.170_1778885700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778885700000,"latitude":33.59,"longitude":-102.17},{"id":"iem_G_33.610_-102.050_1778886000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778886000000,"latitude":33.61,"longitude":-102.05}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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